SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Annan Athletic |
45.58% ( 0.03) | 24.65% ( -0.01) | 29.77% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.7% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.94% ( 0.02) | 46.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.64% ( 0.02) | 68.36% ( -0.02) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% ( 0.03) | 20.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.34% ( 0.04) | 52.66% ( -0.03) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( -0) | 28.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% ( -0.01) | 64.73% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 45.58% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.77% |
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