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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.56%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
38.38% ( 3.23) | 24.04% ( -0.09) | 37.58% ( -3.13) |
| Both teams to score 61.33% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.94% ( 0.72) | 41.05% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.55% ( 0.73) | 63.45% ( -0.72) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( 2) | 21.49% ( -2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.47% ( 2.98) | 54.53% ( -2.98) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( -1.2) | 21.89% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.86% ( -1.86) | 55.14% ( 1.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.45)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.39)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.26)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.65% Total : 38.38% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.39) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.51)0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.6)1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.36)2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.42)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.2)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.58% |
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