SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
49.54% ( -0.05) | 22.94% ( 0.04) | 27.52% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.04% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.37% ( -0.16) | 39.63% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.02% ( -0.17) | 61.98% ( 0.17) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.78% ( -0.08) | 16.22% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.27% ( -0.14) | 45.73% ( 0.14) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.85% ( -0.07) | 27.15% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% ( -0.1) | 62.55% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.54% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 27.52% |
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