Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.

Result
Kelty Hearts	Draw	Annan Athletic
40.45% ( -0.51)	24.03% ( 0.22)	35.53% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 61.16% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.82% (

-1)

41.18% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.43% (

-1.02)

63.57% (

1.02)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.44% (

-0.66)

20.56% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.92% (

-1.05)

53.08% (

1.05)

Annan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.99% (

-0.3)

23.01% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.18% (

-0.45)

56.82% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Kelty Hearts 40.45%

Annan Athletic 35.53%

Draw 24.02%

Kelty Hearts	Draw	Annan Athletic
2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.89% Total : 40.45%	1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.02%	1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.53%