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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
46.82% ( -0.04) | 23.24% ( 0) | 29.93% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.75% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.54% | 39.46% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.2% ( 0) | 61.8% ( -0) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.83% ( -0.02) | 17.17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.58% ( -0.02) | 47.42% ( 0.02) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( 0.02) | 25.45% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.72% ( 0.03) | 60.28% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.73% 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 4.09% Total : 46.82% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.37% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.93% |
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