SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | St Johnstone |
19.46% ( -0.01) | 22.83% ( 0) | 57.72% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.39% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.27% ( -0.03) | 47.73% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% ( -0.03) | 69.92% ( 0.03) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.37% ( -0.03) | 38.63% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.62% ( -0.03) | 75.38% ( 0.03) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.73% ( -0.01) | 16.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.2% ( -0.02) | 45.8% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.16% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.84% 3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.46% Total : 19.46% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0)Other @ 1% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.36% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.27% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.04% 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 57.71% |
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