Almeria are seeking a first La Liga success over Villarreal for 14 years, but we are finding it difficult to predict a positive result for the basement side. Villarreal are in excellent form on their travels, and we are backing the Yellow Submarine to navigate their way to all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.
-1.13) 
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