Almeria are certainly capable of making this a difficult match for Atletico, especially as they held Athletic to a goalless draw in their last match on home soil. Atletico will also be without their star player in Griezmann, but we believe that Simeone's side will still have enough quality to secure an important three points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Almeria has a probability of 28.89% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Almeria win is 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.01%).
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