Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 27.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
