Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.04) 
