Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.29%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.02) 
