SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tenerife | Draw | Amorebieta |
52.99% ( 2.36) | 26.25% ( -0.16) | 20.76% ( -2.2) |
| Both teams to score 43.6% ( -2.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.93% ( -1.4) | 59.07% ( 1.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.48% ( -1.09) | 79.52% ( 1.09) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( 0.44) | 22.44% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.02% ( 0.66) | 55.98% ( -0.66) |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.22% ( -3.06) | 43.78% ( 3.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.06% ( -2.64) | 79.94% ( 2.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tenerife | Draw | Amorebieta |
| 1-0 @ 14.68% ( 0.94) 2-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.83)2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.48)3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.72% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.35)Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.54)0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.41)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.76% |
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