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Segunda Division | Gameweek 37
Apr 27, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El Plantio

Burgos
2 - 2
Amorebieta

Nino (8'), Curro (47')
Grego (4'), Montiel (12'), Munoz (59'), Ojeda (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Morcillo (77', 79')
Lasure (35'), Moran (44'), Rodriguez (90+14')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Burgos and Amorebieta.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mirandes 2-1 Burgos
Sunday, April 21 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Amorebieta 0-3 Valladolid
Saturday, April 20 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 45.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 26.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
BurgosDrawAmorebieta
45.66% (-0.323 -0.32) 27.71% (0.116 0.12) 26.62% (0.213 0.21)
Both teams to score 45.42% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.3% (-0.28 -0.28)59.7% (0.285 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.99% (-0.213 -0.21)80.01% (0.218 0.22)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (-0.289 -0.29)26.13% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.8% (-0.392 -0.39)61.2% (0.398 0.4)
Amorebieta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (0.027999999999999 0.03)38.51% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (0.026 0.03)75.26% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Burgos 45.66%
    Amorebieta 26.62%
    Draw 27.7%
BurgosDrawAmorebieta
1-0 @ 13.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 45.66%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.06% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.96% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 26.62%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Mirandes 2-1 Burgos
Sunday, April 21 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 2-1 Racing
Sunday, April 14 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 2-1 Burgos
Sunday, April 7 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 0-0 Espanyol
Friday, March 29 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Huesca 3-0 Burgos
Sunday, March 24 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 1-1 Levante
Saturday, March 16 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Amorebieta 0-3 Valladolid
Saturday, April 20 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Levante 1-2 Amorebieta
Saturday, April 13 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Amorebieta 3-1 Racing de Ferrol
Friday, April 5 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alcorcon 1-1 Amorebieta
Sunday, March 31 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Amorebieta 3-1 Sporting Gijon
Sunday, March 24 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: FC Andorra 0-1 Amorebieta
Monday, March 18 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division


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