SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Cove Rangers |
51.31% ( 0.05) | 23.29% ( -0.01) | 25.4% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.99% ( -0.01) | 43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.59% ( -0.01) | 65.4% ( 0) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.17% ( 0.01) | 16.83% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.18% ( 0.03) | 46.81% ( -0.03) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.5% ( -0.04) | 30.5% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.28% ( -0.05) | 66.72% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.31% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.4% |
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