SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
41.69% ( 1.17) | 26.6% ( -0.15) | 31.71% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.32% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.53% ( 0.31) | 53.47% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.01% ( 0.25) | 74.99% ( -0.25) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.67% ( 0.75) | 25.33% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.89% ( 1.02) | 60.11% ( -1.02) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% ( -0.53) | 31.28% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.37% ( -0.63) | 67.63% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.68% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.71% |
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