SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Cove Rangers |
59.84% ( -0.3) | 21.36% ( 0.17) | 18.8% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.05% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.71% ( -0.57) | 42.29% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.3% ( -0.58) | 64.69% ( 0.58) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.25% ( -0.27) | 13.75% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.98% ( -0.55) | 41.02% ( 0.55) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.82% ( -0.2) | 36.17% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.04% ( -0.2) | 72.96% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 59.84% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.8% |
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