SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Lanus |
52.94% ( 0.64) | 26.01% ( -0.16) | 21.05% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 44.56% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42% ( 0.09) | 58% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.31% ( 0.07) | 78.69% ( -0.08) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( 0.31) | 22.02% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.66% ( 0.47) | 55.34% ( -0.48) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.14% ( -0.46) | 42.85% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.83% ( -0.39) | 79.17% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.27% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.86% Total : 52.92% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.6% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.04% Total : 21.05% |
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