SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
28.13% ( 0.25) | 27.97% ( -0.01) | 43.89% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 45.66% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.13% ( 0.14) | 59.87% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.86% ( 0.11) | 80.14% ( -0.11) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.66% ( 0.29) | 37.34% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.87% ( 0.28) | 74.13% ( -0.28) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% ( -0.06) | 27.12% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.49% ( -0.09) | 62.51% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.74% Total : 28.13% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 43.89% |
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