SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.77%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Sarmiento |
63.47% ( -0.27) | 22.9% ( 0.1) | 13.63% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 39.68% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.9% ( -0.04) | 57.1% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.02% ( -0.03) | 77.98% ( 0.03) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.41% ( -0.11) | 17.59% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.85% ( -0.19) | 48.15% ( 0.19) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.15% ( 0.24) | 51.85% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.1% ( 0.16) | 85.9% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 15.84% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 13.77% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 63.46% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.25% Total : 13.63% |
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