Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sarmiento | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
26.23% ( 0.51) | 26.2% ( 0.2) | 47.57% ( -0.71) |
Both teams to score 49.33% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.48% ( -0.43) | 54.52% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.13% ( -0.36) | 75.87% ( 0.36) |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.01% ( 0.2) | 36% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.22% ( 0.2) | 72.78% ( -0.2) |
Argentinos Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.08% ( -0.51) | 22.93% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.31% ( -0.75) | 56.69% ( 0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Sarmiento | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.93% Total : 26.23% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.86% Total : 47.56% |
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