Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 12.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.92%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
