SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
46.87% ( -0.05) | 23.59% ( 0.02) | 29.54% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.22% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.64% ( -0.05) | 41.36% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.24% ( -0.05) | 63.75% ( 0.05) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( -0.04) | 17.89% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.33% ( -0.07) | 48.67% ( 0.07) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% | 26.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.1% ( -0) | 61.9% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.87% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.54% |
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