SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Barcelona |
31.88% ( -0.34) | 23.31% ( 0.04) | 44.81% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 62.59% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.19% ( -0.35) | 38.81% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.88% ( -0.37) | 61.12% ( 0.38) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.06% ( -0.37) | 23.94% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.83% ( -0.54) | 58.17% ( 0.54) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.3% ( -0.02) | 17.7% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.65% ( -0.04) | 48.35% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.88% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.9% Total : 44.81% |
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