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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
BL

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Barcelona

Lopez (9')
Isi (45+2'), Mumin (71'), Ciss (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pedri (60'), Olmo (82')
Bernal Casas (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, August 24 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 52.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawBarcelona
23.71% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 23.84% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 52.45% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99% (0.034999999999997 0.03)47.01% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.74% (0.033000000000001 0.03)69.25% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)34.08% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.76% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1% (0.025000000000006 0.03)17.89% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.31% (0.047000000000004 0.05)48.68% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 23.71%
    Barcelona 52.45%
    Draw 23.83%
Rayo VallecanoDrawBarcelona
1-0 @ 6.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 3.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.88%
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 23.71%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 9.03% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 5.57% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.4% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.23% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 52.45%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, August 24 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, August 18 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, August 4 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Cordoba 1-1 Rayo Vallecano (0-0 pen.)
Wednesday, July 31 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Heerenveen 5-0 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, July 26 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, August 24 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Barcelona
Saturday, August 17 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 0-3 Monaco
Monday, August 12 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barcelona 2-2 AC Milan (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 7 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-2 Barcelona
Sunday, August 4 at 12am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barcelona 2-2 Man City (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, July 31 at 1.20am in Club Friendlies 1


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