Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Genoa |
56.97% ( -0.12) | 22.21% ( 0.11) | 20.82% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.57% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.77% ( -0.47) | 43.23% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.37% ( -0.46) | 65.63% ( 0.46) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% ( -0.2) | 14.96% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.61% ( -0.38) | 43.38% ( 0.37) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.35% ( -0.26) | 34.65% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.62% ( -0.27) | 71.38% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Genoa |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.92% 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 56.97% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.04% Total : 20.82% |
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