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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
BL

Girona
1 - 4
Barcelona

Stuani (80')
Gil (36'), Portu (90+1'), Yamal (90+1'), Stuani (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Yamal (30', 37'), Olmo (47'), Pedri (64')
Victor Delgado (84')
Torres (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 0-2 Girona
Sunday, September 1 at 6pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Girona had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawBarcelona
32.71% (0.526 0.53) 23.85% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 43.44% (-0.555 -0.56)
Both teams to score 60.98% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.92% (0.052999999999997 0.05)41.07% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53% (0.052 0.05)63.47% (-0.052 -0.05)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (0.336 0.34)24.54% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (0.471 0.47)59.02% (-0.47 -0.47)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82% (-0.21600000000001 -0.22)19.18% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.15% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)50.85% (0.357 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Girona 32.71%
    Barcelona 43.44%
    Draw 23.84%
GironaDrawBarcelona
2-1 @ 7.67% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.61% (0.049 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.64% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.18% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.71%
1-1 @ 10.91%
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.77% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.53% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.05% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 43.44%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sevilla 0-2 Girona
Sunday, September 1 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 4-0 Osasuna
Thursday, August 29 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Girona
Sunday, August 25 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 1-1 Girona
Thursday, August 15 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Bournemouth 3-2 Girona
Saturday, August 10 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Girona
Friday, August 9 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Barcelona 7-0 Valladolid
Saturday, August 31 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, August 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, August 24 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Barcelona
Saturday, August 17 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 0-3 Monaco
Monday, August 12 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barcelona 2-2 AC Milan (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 7 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1


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