SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for OFI Crete had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest OFI Crete win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | OFI Crete |
43.62% ( -0.28) | 27.53% ( 0.21) | 28.85% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.28% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.99% ( -0.72) | 58.01% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.3% ( -0.57) | 78.7% ( 0.57) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( -0.47) | 26.39% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.44% ( -0.63) | 61.55% ( 0.63) |
| OFI Crete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.24% ( -0.34) | 35.76% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.47% ( -0.34) | 72.53% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | OFI Crete |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.05% Total : 43.62% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)Other @ 2% Total : 28.85% |
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