SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
38.64% ( 0.1) | 24.98% ( -0.02) | 36.37% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.79% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.39% ( 0.09) | 45.6% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% ( 0.09) | 67.93% ( -0.09) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( 0.09) | 23.37% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.65% ( 0.13) | 57.34% ( -0.13) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% ( 0) | 24.58% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.92% ( 0) | 59.08% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.65% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 36.37% |
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