No fewer than nine of the last 14 league meetings between Juventus and Atalanta have ended in draws, but La Dea's midweek exertions may tip the balance in Juve's favour on this occasion. Despite being hampered by absences, they may be meeting Gasperini's men at just the right time.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 19.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
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