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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
36.03% ( 0.23) | 24.42% ( -0.01) | 39.55% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.01% ( 0.09) | 42.99% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.61% ( 0.09) | 65.39% ( -0.09) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( 0.16) | 23.57% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.37% ( 0.24) | 57.63% ( -0.24) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% ( -0.07) | 21.76% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.04% ( -0.1) | 54.95% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 36.03% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 39.55% |
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