Atletico-GO have not taken well to life in the top division and they are especially vulnerable on home soil, which is an advantage for Athletico PR on Sunday. The visitors have both history and form on their side and it is difficult to look beyond another win for them here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
-0.39) 
0.65) 
