Because of the league positioning that these two teams have right now, it is the hosts who will be the heavy favourites in a bid to pick up the victory here.
That is something that they should do as well considering the quality of their squad, and the fact that they have been more dominant throughout the campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
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