Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
-0.95) 
0.21) 
