While the immediate inclination is to back Atletico Mineiro to notch maximum points, the hosts' absentees mean you are inclined to be cautious. The away side may not be prolific in attack, but they should have enough to nick a point against Milito's hodgepodge side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.31) 
0.14) 
