Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 44.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 27.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 1-0 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.27) 
