Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 13.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.