Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 81.4%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Rayo Zuliano had a probability of 5.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.44%) and 1-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.09%), while for a Rayo Zuliano win it was 0-1 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
-0.68) 
0.48) 
