SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
49.81% ( 0.39) | 25.44% ( -0.03) | 24.75% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.34% ( -0.17) | 52.67% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.69% ( -0.14) | 74.31% ( 0.15) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( 0.1) | 21.16% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.97% ( 0.15) | 54.03% ( -0.15) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.74% ( -0.4) | 36.26% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.95% ( -0.41) | 73.05% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 49.8% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.75% |
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