Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
-0.21) 
0.09) 
