Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Santos had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
-0.07) 
0.11) 
