Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 48.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
48.25% ( -0.41)	27.25% ( 0.11)	24.5% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 44.98% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.6% (

-0.18)

59.41% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.22% (

-0.14)

79.78% (

0.14)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.27% (

-0.27)

24.73% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.72% (

-0.38)

59.28% (

0.38)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.76% (

0.18)

40.24% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.13% (

0.16)

76.87% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 48.25%

Athletico Paranaense 24.5%

Draw 27.24%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.25%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.24%	0-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.33% Total : 24.5%