SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 36.22%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Estudiantes |
33.84% ( -0.38) | 29.94% ( 0.13) | 36.22% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 42.24% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.04% ( -0.43) | 64.96% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.14% ( -0.3) | 83.86% ( 0.3) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.19% ( -0.49) | 35.81% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.41% ( -0.51) | 72.59% ( 0.51) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.81% ( -0.06) | 34.19% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.11% ( -0.07) | 70.88% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.03% Total : 33.84% | 1-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.94% | 0-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.22% |
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