SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
55.44% ( -1.31) | 25.79% ( 0.57) | 18.77% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 42.05% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.4% ( -1.02) | 59.59% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.07% ( -0.79) | 79.93% ( 0.79) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( -0.95) | 21.62% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.26% ( -1.48) | 54.74% ( 1.47) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.65% ( 0.29) | 46.34% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.01% ( 0.22) | 81.98% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 15.34% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 6% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.86% Total : 55.43% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.39% Total : 18.77% |
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