SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aucas win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aucas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aucas | Draw | Nublense |
52.96% ( -0.48) | 25.22% ( 0.3) | 21.81% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.59% ( -0.97) | 54.4% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.22% ( -0.82) | 75.77% ( 0.81) |
| Aucas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( -0.58) | 20.54% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.94% ( -0.93) | 53.05% ( 0.92) |
| Nublense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60% ( -0.38) | 39.99% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.35% ( -0.35) | 76.64% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aucas | Draw | Nublense |
| 1-0 @ 13% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.54% Total : 52.95% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.81% |
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