Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nublense win with a probability of 47.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 26.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nublense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
