Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union La Calera win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Nublense had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union La Calera win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Nublense win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union La Calera would win this match.
