Union La Calera
2 - 1
Nublense

(Union La Calera win 2-1 on aggregate)

Saez (44'), Ramirez (64')
Garrido (50'), Castellani (66'), Oyanedel (75'), Cavalleri (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vargas (90+4' pen.)
Campusano (90+3')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Union La Calera and Nublense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union La Calera

Last Game: Union La Calera 3-2 U. Catolica
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Nublense

Last Game: Union La Calera 2-1 Nublense
Wednesday, March 16 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union La Calera win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Nublense had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union La Calera win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Nublense win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union La Calera would win this match.

Result
Union La Calera	Draw	Nublense
45.48%	26.89%	27.64%

Both teams to score 48.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.75%

56.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.71%

77.29%

Union La Calera Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.34%

24.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.81%

59.19%

Nublense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.23%

35.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.46%

72.55%

Score Analysis

Union La Calera 45.47%

Nublense 27.64%

Draw 26.88%

Union La Calera	Draw	Nublense
1-0 @ 12.35% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.42% Total : 45.47%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 9.07% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 1.98% Total : 27.64%