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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Western United had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Auckland FC | Draw | Western United |
42.8% ( 1.93) | 24% ( 0.32) | 33.19% ( -2.25) |
| Both teams to score 60.62% ( -1.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.38% ( -2.08) | 41.61% ( 2.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.98% ( -2.14) | 64.01% ( 2.13) |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( -0.02) | 19.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.33% ( -0.02) | 51.66% ( 0.02) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( -2.22) | 24.52% ( 2.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.01% ( -3.22) | 58.98% ( 3.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Auckland FC | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.71)2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.58)3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.13% Total : 42.8% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.23)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.44)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.39)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.19% |
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