Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.98%) and 2-0 (5.06%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Macarthur |
39.39% ( -0.1) | 22.86% ( 0.01) | 37.75% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 65.9% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.87% ( -0.06) | 35.13% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.87% ( -0.07) | 57.13% ( 0.07) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.55% ( -0.07) | 18.45% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.36% ( -0.12) | 49.64% ( 0.12) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.81% ( 0.01) | 19.19% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.14% ( 0.02) | 50.86% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 39.39% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 37.75% |
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