SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Poland | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Poland | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Austria had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for France in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for France.
| Result | ||
| Austria | Draw | France |
26.52% ( 1.21) | 25.68% ( 0.43) | 47.8% ( -1.64) |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.7% ( -0.85) | 52.29% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.01% ( -0.73) | 73.99% ( 0.73) |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.44% ( 0.55) | 34.55% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.72% ( 0.58) | 71.27% ( -0.59) |
| France Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% ( -1.06) | 21.88% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.87% ( -1.63) | 55.13% ( 1.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria | Draw | France |
| 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.52% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.28% Total : 47.79% |
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