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Friendlies 1
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ernst-Happel-Stadion
GN
Austria
2 - 0
Germany
Sabitzer (29'), Baumgartner (73')
Mwene (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kimmich (87')
Sane (49')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Estonia 0-2 Austria
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201
All competitions
Last Game: Germany 2-3 Turkey
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Austria 1-1 Germany

Still acclimatising to Nagelsmann's methods, Germany's hopes of bouncing straight back from their lowly loss to Turkey will not exactly be high at the Ernst-Happel-Stadion, especially with Austria having two more days of rest to work with. Rangnick's troops have already laid down plenty of markers en route to Euro 2024, and we have faith in Das Team to hold the tournament hosts to a score draw, bringing Die Mannschaft's painful year to an unspectacular end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Austria had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Austria win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
AustriaDrawGermany
29.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 23.43% (0.288 0.29) 47.5% (-0.308 -0.31)
Both teams to score 60.47% (-1.016 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.11% (-1.346 -1.35)40.89% (1.348 1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.72% (-1.389 -1.39)63.28% (1.39 1.39)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26% (-0.666 -0.67)26.73% (0.667 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38% (-0.884 -0.88)62% (0.886 0.89)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.54% (-0.63 -0.63)17.46% (0.631 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.07% (-1.115 -1.11)47.93% (1.116 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Austria 29.06%
    Germany 47.5%
    Draw 23.43%
AustriaDrawGermany
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.16% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 4.06% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 29.06%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.67% (0.281 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.15% (0.329 0.33)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.46% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.6% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-4 @ 2.38% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 47.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Estonia 0-2 Austria
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Azerbaijan 0-1 Austria
Monday, October 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Austria 2-3 Belgium
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Sweden 1-3 Austria
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Austria 1-1 Moldova
Thursday, September 7 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Austria 2-0 Sweden
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Germany 2-3 Turkey
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-2 Germany
Wednesday, October 18 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-3 Germany
Saturday, October 14 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 2-1 France
Tuesday, September 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 1-4 Japan
Saturday, September 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 0-2 Colombia
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
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