SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Austria had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Austria win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austria | Draw | Germany |
29.06% ( 0.02) | 23.43% ( 0.29) | 47.5% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 60.47% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.11% ( -1.35) | 40.89% ( 1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.72% ( -1.39) | 63.28% ( 1.39) |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.26% ( -0.67) | 26.73% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38% ( -0.88) | 62% ( 0.89) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.54% ( -0.63) | 17.46% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.07% ( -1.11) | 47.93% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria | Draw | Germany |
| 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.06% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.46% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 4.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.92% Total : 47.5% |
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